Stenungsunds vs Kumla Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Stenungsunds vs Kumla
Model pick: Stenungsunds (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 16.5 – 0.13
Total goals: 16.6
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stenungsunds | Kumla |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
*Stenungsunds shown at home, Kumla shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stenungsunds — last 5
LLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Kumla — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stenungsunds (home) | Kumla (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (16.5 vs 0.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (49%) |
| Double chance — Stenungsunds or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Kumla or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Stenungsunds clean sheet | 88% |
| Kumla clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stenungsunds is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Stenungsunds are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stenungsunds vs Kumla — FAQ
Who will win Stenungsunds vs Kumla?
Our statistical model makes Stenungsunds the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Stenungsunds 100%, draw 0%, Kumla 0%.
Will both teams score in Stenungsunds vs Kumla?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stenungsunds vs Kumla?
Expected goals are 16.5 for Stenungsunds and 0.13 for Kumla — about 16.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stenungsunds vs Kumla?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (49%). Double chance for Stenungsunds or draw is 100%.