Sternberk vs Lanzhot Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sternberk vs Lanzhot
Model pick: Draw (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 – 0.37
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 9%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sternberk | Lanzhot |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
*Sternberk shown at home, Lanzhot shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sternberk — last 5
WLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Lanzhot — last 5
WLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sternberk (home) | Lanzhot (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.39
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (60%) |
| Double chance — Sternberk or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Lanzhot or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 37% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Sternberk clean sheet | 69% |
| Lanzhot clean sheet | 87% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (91% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sternberk vs Lanzhot — FAQ
Who will win Sternberk vs Lanzhot?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Sternberk 11%, draw 59%, Lanzhot 29%.
Will both teams score in Sternberk vs Lanzhot?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sternberk vs Lanzhot?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Sternberk and 0.37 for Lanzhot — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sternberk vs Lanzhot?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (60%). Double chance for Sternberk or draw is 72%.