Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile
Model pick: Östersunds FK (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.52
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Östersunds FK | Ljungskile |
|---|
| League position | #4 (33 pts) | #13 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Östersunds FK shown at home, Ljungskile shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Östersunds FK — last 5
WDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Ljungskile — last 5
WWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Östersunds FK (home) | Ljungskile (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-1 in 9 (1.7 / 1.1 goals per game) | 2-4-3 in 9 (1.4 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 57% |
| Top scorer | – | Filip Ambroz (1) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.63 vs 1.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Östersunds FK or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Ljungskile or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Östersunds FK clean sheet | 22% |
| Ljungskile clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Östersunds FK is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Östersunds FK are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile — FAQ
Who will win Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile?
Our statistical model makes Östersunds FK the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Östersunds FK 44%, draw 26%, Ljungskile 30%.
Will both teams score in Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile?
Expected goals are 1.63 for Östersunds FK and 1.52 for Ljungskile — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Östersunds FK vs Ljungskile?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Östersunds FK or draw is 64%.