Östersunds FK vs Öster Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Östersunds FK vs Öster
Model pick: Östersunds FK (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.59
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Östersunds FK | Öster |
|---|
| League position | #5 (25 pts) | #7 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
*Östersunds FK shown at home, Öster shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Östersunds FK — last 5
WLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Öster — last 5
LDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Östersunds FK (home) | Öster (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-1 in 7 (1.9 / 1.4 goals per game) | 2-1-4 in 7 (1.7 / 2.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 43% |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 1.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Östersunds FK or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Öster or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Östersunds FK clean sheet | 20% |
| Öster clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Östersunds FK is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Östersunds FK are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Östersunds FK vs Öster — FAQ
Who will win Östersunds FK vs Öster?
Our statistical model makes Östersunds FK the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Östersunds FK 40%, draw 26%, Öster 35%.
Will both teams score in Östersunds FK vs Öster?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Östersunds FK vs Öster?
Expected goals are 1.0 for Östersunds FK and 1.59 for Öster — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Östersunds FK vs Öster?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Östersunds FK or draw is 49%.