Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork
Model pick: Kluczbork (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.39 – 0.89
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stilon Gorzow | Kluczbork |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.25 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Stilon Gorzow shown at home, Kluczbork shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stilon Gorzow — last 5
DWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Kluczbork — last 5
DWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 42% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stilon Gorzow (home) | Kluczbork (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 47% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.39 vs 0.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Stilon Gorzow or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — Kluczbork or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Stilon Gorzow clean sheet | 41% |
| Kluczbork clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kluczbork is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Kluczbork edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork — FAQ
Who will win Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork?
Our statistical model makes Kluczbork the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Stilon Gorzow 18%, draw 38%, Kluczbork 44%.
Will both teams score in Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork?
Expected goals are 0.39 for Stilon Gorzow and 0.89 for Kluczbork — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stilon Gorzow vs Kluczbork?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for Stilon Gorzow or draw is 54%.