Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa
Model pick: Nysa (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.36 – 8.54
Total goals: 12.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stilon Gorzow | Nysa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 1.33 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Stilon Gorzow shown at home, Nysa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stilon Gorzow — last 5
DWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Nysa — last 5
DLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stilon Gorzow (home) | Nysa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.36 vs 8.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-8 (5%) |
| Double chance — Stilon Gorzow or draw (1X) | 25% |
| Double chance — Nysa or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Stilon Gorzow clean sheet | 0% |
| Nysa clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nysa is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Despite playing away, Nysa edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 12.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa — FAQ
Who will win Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa?
Our statistical model makes Nysa the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Stilon Gorzow 15%, draw 10%, Nysa 75%.
Will both teams score in Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa?
Expected goals are 4.36 for Stilon Gorzow and 8.54 for Nysa — about 12.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stilon Gorzow vs Nysa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-8 (5%). Double chance for Stilon Gorzow or draw is 25%.