Stord vs Fana Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Stord vs Fana
Model pick: Fana (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.66 – 3.98
Total goals: 5.6
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stord | Fana |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 3.2 | 2.8 / 2.2 |
*Stord shown at home, Fana shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stord — last 5
LDLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Fana — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stord (home) | Fana (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.66 vs 3.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (6%) |
| Double chance — Stord or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Fana or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Stord clean sheet | 2% |
| Fana clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fana is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Despite playing away, Fana edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.6, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Stord vs Fana — FAQ
Who will win Stord vs Fana?
Our statistical model makes Fana the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Stord 14%, draw 14%, Fana 72%.
Will both teams score in Stord vs Fana?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stord vs Fana?
Expected goals are 1.66 for Stord and 3.98 for Fana — about 5.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stord vs Fana?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (6%). Double chance for Stord or draw is 22%.