Strømmen vs Ranheim Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Strømmen vs Ranheim
Model pick: Ranheim (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.38
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Strømmen | Ranheim |
|---|
| League position | #15 (15 pts) | #8 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 |
*Strømmen shown at home, Ranheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Strømmen — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Ranheim — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Strømmen (home) | Ranheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-4 in 8 (1.1 / 2.4 goals per game) | 1-0-6 in 7 (1.6 / 3.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 63% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Strømmen or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Ranheim or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Strømmen clean sheet | 25% |
| Ranheim clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ranheim is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Ranheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Strømmen vs Ranheim — FAQ
Who will win Strømmen vs Ranheim?
Our statistical model makes Ranheim the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Strømmen 37%, draw 25%, Ranheim 38%.
Will both teams score in Strømmen vs Ranheim?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Strømmen vs Ranheim?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Strømmen and 1.38 for Ranheim — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Strømmen vs Ranheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Strømmen or draw is 63%.