Strømmen vs Raufoss Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Strømmen vs Raufoss
Model pick: Strømmen (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.42
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Strømmen | Raufoss |
|---|
| League position | #16 (15 pts) | #15 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 2.6 | 1.0 / 3.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
*Strømmen shown at home, Raufoss shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Strømmen — last 5
LDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Raufoss — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 10% of the time; 66% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Strømmen (home) | Raufoss (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-5 in 9 (1.1 / 2.6 goals per game) | 2-0-7 in 9 (1.0 / 3.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 66% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Strømmen or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Raufoss or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Strømmen clean sheet | 24% |
| Raufoss clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Strømmen is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Strømmen are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Strømmen vs Raufoss — FAQ
Who will win Strømmen vs Raufoss?
Our statistical model makes Strømmen the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Strømmen 45%, draw 25%, Raufoss 30%.
Will both teams score in Strømmen vs Raufoss?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Strømmen vs Raufoss?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Strømmen and 1.42 for Raufoss — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Strømmen vs Raufoss?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Strømmen or draw is 62%.