Stropkov vs FK Humenne Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Stropkov vs FK Humenne
Model pick: FK Humenne (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 5.21
Total goals: 5.8
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stropkov | FK Humenne |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #10 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.5 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Stropkov shown at home, FK Humenne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stropkov — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
FK Humenne — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stropkov (home) | FK Humenne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 5.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-5 (10%) |
| Double chance — Stropkov or draw (1X) | 4% |
| Double chance — FK Humenne or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Stropkov clean sheet | 1% |
| FK Humenne clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FK Humenne is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Despite playing away, FK Humenne edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.8, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stropkov vs FK Humenne — FAQ
Who will win Stropkov vs FK Humenne?
Our statistical model makes FK Humenne the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Stropkov 2%, draw 4%, FK Humenne 94%.
Will both teams score in Stropkov vs FK Humenne?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stropkov vs FK Humenne?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Stropkov and 5.21 for FK Humenne — about 5.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stropkov vs FK Humenne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-5 (10%). Double chance for Stropkov or draw is 4%.