Stropkov vs Lubovna Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Stropkov vs Lubovna
Model pick: Stropkov (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 8.69 – 0.87
Total goals: 9.6
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stropkov | Lubovna |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 |
*Stropkov shown at home, Lubovna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stropkov — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Lubovna — last 5
WLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stropkov (home) | Lubovna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.48
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (8.69 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Stropkov or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Lubovna or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Stropkov clean sheet | 42% |
| Lubovna clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stropkov is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Stropkov are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 9.6, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stropkov vs Lubovna — FAQ
Who will win Stropkov vs Lubovna?
Our statistical model makes Stropkov the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Stropkov 99%, draw 1%, Lubovna 0%.
Will both teams score in Stropkov vs Lubovna?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stropkov vs Lubovna?
Expected goals are 8.69 for Stropkov and 0.87 for Lubovna — about 9.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stropkov vs Lubovna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (11%). Double chance for Stropkov or draw is 100%.