Strumska Slava vs Razlog Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Strumska Slava vs Razlog
Model pick: Strumska Slava (97%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.32 – 0.27
Total goals: 5.6
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Strumska Slava | Razlog |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 0.25 | 1.0 / 3.25 |
*Strumska Slava shown at home, Razlog shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Strumska Slava — last 5
WDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Razlog — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Strumska Slava (home) | Razlog (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.32 vs 0.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Strumska Slava or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Razlog or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Strumska Slava clean sheet | 76% |
| Razlog clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Strumska Slava is the model's most likely outcome at
97%. Strumska Slava are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.6, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Strumska Slava vs Razlog — FAQ
Who will win Strumska Slava vs Razlog?
Our statistical model makes Strumska Slava the most likely result at 97%. Full probabilities: Strumska Slava 97%, draw 2%, Razlog 0%.
Will both teams score in Strumska Slava vs Razlog?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Strumska Slava vs Razlog?
Expected goals are 5.32 for Strumska Slava and 0.27 for Razlog — about 5.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Strumska Slava vs Razlog?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (15%). Double chance for Strumska Slava or draw is 100%.