Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC
Model pick: Floridsdorfer AC (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.85 – 1.49
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sturm Graz II | Floridsdorfer AC |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #6 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 3.0 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Sturm Graz II shown at home, Floridsdorfer AC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sturm Graz II — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 14% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Floridsdorfer AC — last 5
DWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sturm Graz II (home) | Floridsdorfer AC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 14% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 49% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.85 vs 1.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Sturm Graz II or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Floridsdorfer AC or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Sturm Graz II clean sheet | 23% |
| Floridsdorfer AC clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Floridsdorfer AC is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Floridsdorfer AC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC — FAQ
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Our statistical model makes Floridsdorfer AC the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Sturm Graz II 21%, draw 26%, Floridsdorfer AC 53%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC?
Expected goals are 0.85 for Sturm Graz II and 1.49 for Floridsdorfer AC — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Sturm Graz II or draw is 48%.