Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln
Model pick: Stuttgart II (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 1.46
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stuttgart II | Viktoria Köln |
|---|
| League position | #6 (3 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 2.6 / 2.2 |
*Stuttgart II shown at home, Viktoria Köln shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stuttgart II — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 15% of the time; 72% of home games go over 2.5.
Viktoria Köln — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stuttgart II (home) | Viktoria Köln (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 15% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Deniz Zeitler (11) | – |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 1.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Stuttgart II or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Viktoria Köln or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Stuttgart II clean sheet | 23% |
| Viktoria Köln clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stuttgart II is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Stuttgart II are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln — FAQ
Who will win Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln?
Our statistical model makes Stuttgart II the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Stuttgart II 42%, draw 25%, Viktoria Köln 32%.
Will both teams score in Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln?
Expected goals are 1.55 for Stuttgart II and 1.46 for Viktoria Köln — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Stuttgart II or draw is 64%.