Sulow vs ROW Rybnik Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Sulow vs ROW Rybnik
Model pick: ROW Rybnik (76%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 4.17
Total goals: 5.8
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sulow | ROW Rybnik |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.25 / 1.0 |
*Sulow shown at home, ROW Rybnik shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sulow — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 83% of home games go over 2.5.
ROW Rybnik — last 5
LWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sulow (home) | ROW Rybnik (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 0% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 4.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-4 (7%) |
| Double chance — Sulow or draw (1X) | 19% |
| Double chance — ROW Rybnik or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Sulow clean sheet | 2% |
| ROW Rybnik clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ROW Rybnik is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Despite playing away, ROW Rybnik edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.8, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sulow vs ROW Rybnik — FAQ
Who will win Sulow vs ROW Rybnik?
Our statistical model makes ROW Rybnik the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Sulow 12%, draw 13%, ROW Rybnik 76%.
Will both teams score in Sulow vs ROW Rybnik?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sulow vs ROW Rybnik?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Sulow and 4.17 for ROW Rybnik — about 5.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sulow vs ROW Rybnik?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-4 (7%). Double chance for Sulow or draw is 19%.