Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Model pick: Sulow (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.2
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sulow | Zagłębie Sosnowiec |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Sulow shown at home, Zagłębie Sosnowiec shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sulow — last 5
WDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 86% of home games go over 2.5.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sulow (home) | Zagłębie Sosnowiec (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Sulow or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Zagłębie Sosnowiec or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Sulow clean sheet | 30% |
| Zagłębie Sosnowiec clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sulow is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Sulow are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec — FAQ
Who will win Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
Our statistical model makes Sulow the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Sulow 41%, draw 27%, Zagłębie Sosnowiec 32%.
Will both teams score in Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Sulow and 1.2 for Zagłębie Sosnowiec — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sulow vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Sulow or draw is 69%.