Sumperk vs Stonava Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sumperk vs Stonava
Model pick: Stonava (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.56 – 1.17
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sumperk | Stonava |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.33 | 1.33 / 2.0 |
*Sumperk shown at home, Stonava shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sumperk — last 5
LWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Stonava — last 5
LDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sumperk (home) | Stonava (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.56 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Sumperk or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Stonava or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Sumperk clean sheet | 31% |
| Stonava clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stonava is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Stonava edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Sumperk vs Stonava — FAQ
Who will win Sumperk vs Stonava?
Our statistical model makes Stonava the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Sumperk 20%, draw 32%, Stonava 48%.
Will both teams score in Sumperk vs Stonava?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sumperk vs Stonava?
Expected goals are 0.56 for Sumperk and 1.17 for Stonava — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sumperk vs Stonava?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Sumperk or draw is 49%.