Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders Prediction & Preview
New South Wales (Australia) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 05:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NEW SOUTH WALES (AUSTRALIA)
Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders
Model pick: Sutherland Sharks (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sutherland Sharks | SD Raiders |
|---|
| League position | #4 (46 pts) | #9 (38 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
*Sutherland Sharks shown at home, SD Raiders shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sutherland Sharks — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
SD Raiders — last 5
WDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sutherland Sharks (home) | SD Raiders (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-2-5 in 14 (1.6 / 1.4 goals per game) | 5-2-7 in 14 (1.4 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 67% |
New South Wales (Australia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.83
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 55%
Use these New South Wales (Australia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Sutherland Sharks or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — SD Raiders or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Sutherland Sharks clean sheet | 32% |
| SD Raiders clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sutherland Sharks is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Sutherland Sharks are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders — FAQ
Who will win Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?
Our statistical model makes Sutherland Sharks the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Sutherland Sharks 47%, draw 26%, SD Raiders 27%.
Will both teams score in Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Sutherland Sharks and 1.15 for SD Raiders — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Sutherland Sharks or draw is 74%.