Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City
Model pick: Suwon Bluewings (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 0.8
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Suwon Bluewings | Gimhae City |
|---|
| League position | #1 (37 pts) | #17 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Suwon Bluewings shown at home, Gimhae City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Suwon Bluewings — last 5
LLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Gimhae City — last 5
LWWDL
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Suwon Bluewings (home) | Gimhae City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-1 in 9 (1.2 / 0.7 goals per game) | 2-3-4 in 9 (0.9 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 45% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Suwon Bluewings or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Gimhae City or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Suwon Bluewings clean sheet | 45% |
| Gimhae City clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Suwon Bluewings is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Suwon Bluewings are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City — FAQ
Who will win Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City?
Our statistical model makes Suwon Bluewings the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Suwon Bluewings 60%, draw 23%, Gimhae City 17%.
Will both teams score in Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City?
Expected goals are 1.95 for Suwon Bluewings and 0.8 for Gimhae City — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Suwon Bluewings or draw is 85%.