Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) ยท Sep 02, 2026 ยท kickoff 14:30 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna
Model pick: D. Luzna (71%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.41 โ 2.02
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 42%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Svaty Jur | D. Luzna |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 5.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Svaty Jur shown at home, D. Luzna shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Svaty Jur โ last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
D. Luzna โ last 5
LWWD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Svaty Jur (home) | D. Luzna (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.41 vs 2.02):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (18%) |
| Double chance โ Svaty Jur or draw (1X) | 24% |
| Double chance โ D. Luzna or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Svaty Jur clean sheet | 13% |
| D. Luzna clean sheet | 66% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
D. Luzna is the model's most likely outcome at
71%. Despite playing away, D. Luzna edge the model โ their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna โ FAQ
Who will win Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna?
Our statistical model makes D. Luzna the most likely result at 71%. Full probabilities: Svaty Jur 9%, draw 21%, D. Luzna 71%.
Will both teams score in Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna?
Expected goals are 0.41 for Svaty Jur and 2.02 for D. Luzna โ about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Svaty Jur vs D. Luzna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (18%). Double chance for Svaty Jur or draw is 24%.