Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo
Model pick: Svetkavitsa 2014 (81%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.68 – 0.37
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Svetkavitsa 2014 | Septemvri Dragoevo |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.67 / 0.67 | 2.5 / 3.0 |
*Svetkavitsa 2014 shown at home, Septemvri Dragoevo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Svetkavitsa 2014 — last 5
WWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Septemvri Dragoevo — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Svetkavitsa 2014 (home) | Septemvri Dragoevo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.68 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Svetkavitsa 2014 or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Septemvri Dragoevo or draw (X2) | 14% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Svetkavitsa 2014 clean sheet | 69% |
| Septemvri Dragoevo clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Svetkavitsa 2014 is the model's most likely outcome at
81%. Svetkavitsa 2014 are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo — FAQ
Who will win Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
Our statistical model makes Svetkavitsa 2014 the most likely result at 81%. Full probabilities: Svetkavitsa 2014 81%, draw 14%, Septemvri Dragoevo 5%.
Will both teams score in Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
Expected goals are 2.68 for Svetkavitsa 2014 and 0.37 for Septemvri Dragoevo — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (17%). Double chance for Svetkavitsa 2014 or draw is 97%.