Svitavy vs Kolin Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Svitavy vs Kolin
Model pick: Kolin (87%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.23 – 4.97
Total goals: 6.2
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Svitavy | Kolin |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Svitavy shown at home, Kolin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Svitavy — last 5
LWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kolin — last 5
WLDDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Svitavy (home) | Kolin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.23 vs 4.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-4 (7%) |
| Double chance — Svitavy or draw (1X) | 9% |
| Double chance — Kolin or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Svitavy clean sheet | 1% |
| Kolin clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kolin is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Despite playing away, Kolin edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.2, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Svitavy vs Kolin — FAQ
Who will win Svitavy vs Kolin?
Our statistical model makes Kolin the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Svitavy 6%, draw 8%, Kolin 87%.
Will both teams score in Svitavy vs Kolin?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Svitavy vs Kolin?
Expected goals are 1.23 for Svitavy and 4.97 for Kolin — about 6.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Svitavy vs Kolin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-4 (7%). Double chance for Svitavy or draw is 9%.