Syrianska vs Smedby Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Syrianska vs Smedby
Model pick: Smedby (72%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.26 – 1.84
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Syrianska | Smedby |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.33 / 0.33 |
*Syrianska shown at home, Smedby shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Syrianska — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Smedby — last 5
WDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Syrianska (home) | Smedby (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.29
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.26 vs 1.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (23%) |
| Double chance — Syrianska or draw (1X) | 23% |
| Double chance — Smedby or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Syrianska clean sheet | 16% |
| Smedby clean sheet | 77% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Smedby is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Despite playing away, Smedby edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Syrianska vs Smedby — FAQ
Who will win Syrianska vs Smedby?
Our statistical model makes Smedby the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Syrianska 6%, draw 22%, Smedby 72%.
Will both teams score in Syrianska vs Smedby?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Syrianska vs Smedby?
Expected goals are 0.26 for Syrianska and 1.84 for Smedby — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Syrianska vs Smedby?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (23%). Double chance for Syrianska or draw is 23%.