Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV
Model pick: Szolnoki MAV (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.2 – 2.36
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Szegedi | Szolnoki MAV |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 2.0 |
*Szegedi shown at home, Szolnoki MAV shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Szegedi — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Szolnoki MAV — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Szegedi (home) | Szolnoki MAV (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.2 vs 2.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Szegedi or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Szolnoki MAV or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Szegedi clean sheet | 9% |
| Szolnoki MAV clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Szolnoki MAV is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Szolnoki MAV edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV — FAQ
Who will win Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV?
Our statistical model makes Szolnoki MAV the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Szegedi 37%, draw 21%, Szolnoki MAV 42%.
Will both teams score in Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV?
Expected goals are 2.2 for Szegedi and 2.36 for Szolnoki MAV — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Szegedi vs Szolnoki MAV?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Szegedi or draw is 57%.