Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi
Model pick: Kaposvári Rákóczi (76%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.04 – 1.7
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 18%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Szekszardi | Kaposvári Rákóczi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Szekszardi shown at home, Kaposvári Rákóczi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Szekszardi — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Kaposvári Rákóczi — last 5
LLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 7% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Szekszardi (home) | Kaposvári Rákóczi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 7% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 47% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.04 vs 1.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (30%) |
| Double chance — Szekszardi or draw (1X) | 20% |
| Double chance — Kaposvári Rákóczi or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Szekszardi clean sheet | 18% |
| Kaposvári Rákóczi clean sheet | 96% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kaposvári Rákóczi is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Despite playing away, Kaposvári Rákóczi edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi — FAQ
Who will win Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi?
Our statistical model makes Kaposvári Rákóczi the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Szekszardi 1%, draw 22%, Kaposvári Rákóczi 76%.
Will both teams score in Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi?
The model gives a 18% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi?
Expected goals are 0.04 for Szekszardi and 1.7 for Kaposvári Rákóczi — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Szekszardi vs Kaposvári Rákóczi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (30%). Double chance for Szekszardi or draw is 20%.