Szekszardi vs Siofok Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Szekszardi vs Siofok
Model pick: Siofok (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.02 – 1.04
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 22%
Both teams score: 12%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Szekszardi | Siofok |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 4.0 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Szekszardi shown at home, Siofok shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Szekszardi — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Siofok — last 5
LLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Szekszardi (home) | Siofok (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.02 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (36%) |
| Double chance — Szekszardi or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Siofok or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Szekszardi clean sheet | 35% |
| Siofok clean sheet | 98% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Siofok is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Siofok edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (78% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Szekszardi vs Siofok — FAQ
Who will win Szekszardi vs Siofok?
Our statistical model makes Siofok the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Szekszardi 1%, draw 37%, Siofok 62%.
Will both teams score in Szekszardi vs Siofok?
The model gives a 12% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Szekszardi vs Siofok?
Expected goals are 0.02 for Szekszardi and 1.04 for Siofok — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Szekszardi vs Siofok?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (36%). Double chance for Szekszardi or draw is 36%.