T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II
Model pick: T. Mazowiecki (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 9.11 – 0.6
Total goals: 9.7
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| T. Mazowiecki | ŁKS Łódź II |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*T. Mazowiecki shown at home, ŁKS Łódź II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
T. Mazowiecki — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
ŁKS Łódź II — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | T. Mazowiecki (home) | ŁKS Łódź II (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 55% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (9.11 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — T. Mazowiecki or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — ŁKS Łódź II or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| T. Mazowiecki clean sheet | 55% |
| ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
T. Mazowiecki is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. T. Mazowiecki are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 9.7, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II — FAQ
Who will win T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Our statistical model makes T. Mazowiecki the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: T. Mazowiecki 99%, draw 0%, ŁKS Łódź II 0%.
Will both teams score in T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Expected goals are 9.11 for T. Mazowiecki and 0.6 for ŁKS Łódź II — about 9.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in T. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (16%). Double chance for T. Mazowiecki or draw is 100%.