T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn
Model pick: T. Mazowiecki (76%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.48 – 1.8
Total goals: 6.3
Over 2.5: 83%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| T. Mazowiecki | Troszyn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
*T. Mazowiecki shown at home, Troszyn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
T. Mazowiecki — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Troszyn — last 5
LLLDD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | T. Mazowiecki (home) | Troszyn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.48 vs 1.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (6%) |
| Double chance — T. Mazowiecki or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Troszyn or draw (X2) | 20% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| T. Mazowiecki clean sheet | 17% |
| Troszyn clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
T. Mazowiecki is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. T. Mazowiecki are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.3, this shapes as an open game (83% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn — FAQ
Who will win T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
Our statistical model makes T. Mazowiecki the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: T. Mazowiecki 76%, draw 12%, Troszyn 12%.
Will both teams score in T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
Expected goals are 4.48 for T. Mazowiecki and 1.8 for Troszyn — about 6.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (6%). Double chance for T. Mazowiecki or draw is 90%.