Tammeka vs Flora Prediction & Preview
Meistriliiga (Estonia) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
MEISTRILIIGA (ESTONIA)
Tammeka vs Flora
Model pick: Flora (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.84 – 2.52
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tammeka | Flora |
|---|
| League position | #5 (29 pts) | #3 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.6 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 2.0 |
*Tammeka shown at home, Flora shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tammeka — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Flora — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 43% of the time; 68% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tammeka (home) | Flora (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-4 in 10 (1.2 / 1.1 goals per game) | 7-0-3 in 10 (1.8 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 68% |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Meistriliiga (Estonia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.84 vs 2.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (11%) |
| Double chance — Tammeka or draw (1X) | 26% |
| Double chance — Flora or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Tammeka clean sheet | 8% |
| Flora clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Flora is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Despite playing away, Flora edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tammeka vs Flora — FAQ
Who will win Tammeka vs Flora?
Our statistical model makes Flora the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Tammeka 13%, draw 18%, Flora 69%.
Will both teams score in Tammeka vs Flora?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tammeka vs Flora?
Expected goals are 0.84 for Tammeka and 2.52 for Flora — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tammeka vs Flora?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (11%). Double chance for Tammeka or draw is 26%.