Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi
Model pick: Tarpa (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.23 – 0.66
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tarpa | Tiszafuredi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.8 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*Tarpa shown at home, Tiszafuredi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tarpa — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Tiszafuredi — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tarpa (home) | Tiszafuredi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 25% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.23 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Tarpa or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Tiszafuredi or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Tarpa clean sheet | 52% |
| Tiszafuredi clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tarpa is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Tarpa are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi — FAQ
Who will win Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi?
Our statistical model makes Tarpa the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Tarpa 47%, draw 31%, Tiszafuredi 22%.
Will both teams score in Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi?
Expected goals are 1.23 for Tarpa and 0.66 for Tiszafuredi — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Tarpa or draw is 80%.