Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros
Model pick: Tarpa (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.6 – 1.01
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tarpa | Tiszaujvaros |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 2.75 | 0.5 / 1.25 |
*Tarpa shown at home, Tiszaujvaros shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tarpa — last 5
WLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Tiszaujvaros — last 5
LLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tarpa (home) | Tiszaujvaros (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.6 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Tarpa or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Tiszaujvaros or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Tarpa clean sheet | 36% |
| Tiszaujvaros clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tarpa is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Tarpa are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros — FAQ
Who will win Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros?
Our statistical model makes Tarpa the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Tarpa 66%, draw 19%, Tiszaujvaros 15%.
Will both teams score in Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros?
Expected goals are 2.6 for Tarpa and 1.01 for Tiszaujvaros — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Tarpa or draw is 88%.