Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE
Model pick: Tatabanya (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.47 – 0.21
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tatabanya | Kiraly SE |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 2.2 |
*Tatabanya shown at home, Kiraly SE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tatabanya — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kiraly SE — last 5
LDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tatabanya (home) | Kiraly SE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.47 vs 0.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Tatabanya or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Kiraly SE or draw (X2) | 13% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Tatabanya clean sheet | 81% |
| Kiraly SE clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tatabanya is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Tatabanya are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE — FAQ
Who will win Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE?
Our statistical model makes Tatabanya the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Tatabanya 82%, draw 14%, Kiraly SE 3%.
Will both teams score in Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE?
Expected goals are 2.47 for Tatabanya and 0.21 for Kiraly SE — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tatabanya vs Kiraly SE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (21%). Double chance for Tatabanya or draw is 98%.