Team Altamura vs Monopoli Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Team Altamura vs Monopoli
Model pick: Monopoli (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 1.01
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Team Altamura | Monopoli |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Team Altamura shown at home, Monopoli shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Team Altamura — last 5
LDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Monopoli — last 5
DLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Team Altamura (home) | Monopoli (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 42% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — Team Altamura or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Monopoli or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Team Altamura clean sheet | 36% |
| Monopoli clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Monopoli is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, Monopoli edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Team Altamura vs Monopoli — FAQ
Who will win Team Altamura vs Monopoli?
Our statistical model makes Monopoli the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Team Altamura 32%, draw 32%, Monopoli 36%.
Will both teams score in Team Altamura vs Monopoli?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Team Altamura vs Monopoli?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Team Altamura and 1.01 for Monopoli — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Team Altamura vs Monopoli?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for Team Altamura or draw is 64%.