Team Altamura vs Savoia Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Team Altamura vs Savoia
Model pick: Team Altamura (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.39 – 1.53
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Team Altamura | Savoia |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.67 / 2.0 |
*Team Altamura shown at home, Savoia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Team Altamura — last 5
DLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Savoia — last 5
WLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Team Altamura (home) | Savoia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 100% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.39 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Team Altamura or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Savoia or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Team Altamura clean sheet | 22% |
| Savoia clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Team Altamura is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Team Altamura are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Team Altamura vs Savoia — FAQ
Who will win Team Altamura vs Savoia?
Our statistical model makes Team Altamura the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Team Altamura 53%, draw 21%, Savoia 26%.
Will both teams score in Team Altamura vs Savoia?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Team Altamura vs Savoia?
Expected goals are 2.39 for Team Altamura and 1.53 for Savoia — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Team Altamura vs Savoia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Team Altamura or draw is 76%.