Telstar vs Cambuur Prediction & Preview
Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EREDIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
Telstar vs Cambuur
Model pick: Telstar (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.34 – 1.0
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Telstar | Cambuur |
|---|
| League position | #13 (3 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 3.5 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.8 | 1.0 / 3.8 |
*Telstar shown at home, Cambuur shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Telstar — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Cambuur — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Telstar (home) | Cambuur (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 3.5 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Jeff Hardeveld (1) | – |
Eredivisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Eredivisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.34 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Telstar or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Cambuur or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 37% |
| Cambuur clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Telstar is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Telstar are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Telstar vs Cambuur — FAQ
Who will win Telstar vs Cambuur?
Our statistical model makes Telstar the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Telstar 62%, draw 21%, Cambuur 17%.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Cambuur?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Telstar vs Cambuur?
Expected goals are 2.34 for Telstar and 1.0 for Cambuur — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Telstar vs Cambuur?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Telstar or draw is 85%.