Teplice B vs Pardubice B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Teplice B vs Pardubice B
Model pick: Pardubice B (99%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.87 – 20.63
Total goals: 23.5
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Teplice B | Pardubice B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 3.4 / 0.8 |
*Teplice B shown at home, Pardubice B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Teplice B — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pardubice B — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Teplice B (home) | Pardubice B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.87 vs 20.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-8 (15%) |
| Double chance — Teplice B or draw (1X) | 2% |
| Double chance — Pardubice B or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Teplice B clean sheet | 0% |
| Pardubice B clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pardubice B is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, Pardubice B edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Teplice B vs Pardubice B — FAQ
Who will win Teplice B vs Pardubice B?
Our statistical model makes Pardubice B the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Teplice B 0%, draw 1%, Pardubice B 99%.
Will both teams score in Teplice B vs Pardubice B?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Teplice B vs Pardubice B?
Expected goals are 2.87 for Teplice B and 20.63 for Pardubice B — about 23.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Teplice B vs Pardubice B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-8 (15%). Double chance for Teplice B or draw is 2%.