Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen
Model pick: Viktoria Plzen (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 1.65
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Teplice | Viktoria Plzen |
|---|
| League position | #3 (6 pts) | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Teplice shown at home, Viktoria Plzen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Teplice — last 5
DWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Viktoria Plzen — last 5
DLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 41% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Teplice (home) | Viktoria Plzen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Michal Bilek (7) | – |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 1.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Teplice or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Viktoria Plzen or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Teplice clean sheet | 19% |
| Viktoria Plzen clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Viktoria Plzen is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Viktoria Plzen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen — FAQ
Who will win Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen?
Our statistical model makes Viktoria Plzen the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Teplice 24%, draw 26%, Viktoria Plzen 49%.
Will both teams score in Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Teplice and 1.65 for Viktoria Plzen — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Teplice or draw is 47%.