Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno
Model pick: Teplice (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.53 – 1.05
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Teplice | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|
| League position | #7 (7 pts) | #11 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Teplice shown at home, Zbrojovka Brno shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Teplice — last 5
WWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Zbrojovka Brno — last 5
LWWDL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Teplice (home) | Zbrojovka Brno (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (4.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Michal Bilek (7) | – |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.53 vs 1.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Teplice or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Zbrojovka Brno or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Teplice clean sheet | 35% |
| Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Teplice is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Teplice are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno — FAQ
Who will win Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Our statistical model makes Teplice the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Teplice 42%, draw 27%, Zbrojovka Brno 32%.
Will both teams score in Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Expected goals are 1.53 for Teplice and 1.05 for Zbrojovka Brno — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Teplice or draw is 74%.