Thor Akureyri vs FH Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
Thor Akureyri vs FH
Model pick: FH (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.59
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Thor Akureyri | FH |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Thor Akureyri shown at home, FH shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Thor Akureyri — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
FH — last 5
DWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Thor Akureyri (home) | FH (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 1.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Thor Akureyri or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — FH or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Thor Akureyri clean sheet | 20% |
| FH clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FH is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, FH edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Thor Akureyri vs FH — FAQ
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs FH?
Our statistical model makes FH the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Thor Akureyri 29%, draw 25%, FH 45%.
Will both teams score in Thor Akureyri vs FH?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Thor Akureyri vs FH?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Thor Akureyri and 1.59 for FH — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Thor Akureyri vs FH?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Thor Akureyri or draw is 52%.