Three Bridges vs Carshalton Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Three Bridges vs Carshalton
Model pick: Carshalton (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.79 – 2.95
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Three Bridges | Carshalton |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Three Bridges shown at home, Carshalton shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Three Bridges — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Carshalton — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Three Bridges (home) | Carshalton (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.79 vs 2.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Three Bridges or draw (1X) | 19% |
| Double chance — Carshalton or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Three Bridges clean sheet | 5% |
| Carshalton clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Carshalton is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Despite playing away, Carshalton edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Three Bridges vs Carshalton — FAQ
Who will win Three Bridges vs Carshalton?
Our statistical model makes Carshalton the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Three Bridges 10%, draw 15%, Carshalton 75%.
Will both teams score in Three Bridges vs Carshalton?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Three Bridges vs Carshalton?
Expected goals are 0.79 for Three Bridges and 2.95 for Carshalton — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Three Bridges vs Carshalton?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (10%). Double chance for Three Bridges or draw is 19%.