Thun vs Servette Prediction & Preview
Super League (Switzerland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Thun vs Servette
Model pick: Thun (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.44
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Thun | Servette |
|---|
| League position | #9 (3 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 6.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Thun shown at home, Servette shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Thun — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Servette — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Thun (home) | Servette (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 6.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Christopher Ibayi (10) | – |
Super League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Super League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Thun or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Servette or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Thun clean sheet | 24% |
| Servette clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Thun is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Thun are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Thun vs Servette — FAQ
Who will win Thun vs Servette?
Our statistical model makes Thun the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Thun 39%, draw 25%, Servette 36%.
Will both teams score in Thun vs Servette?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Thun vs Servette?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Thun and 1.44 for Servette — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Thun vs Servette?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Thun or draw is 74%.