Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast
Model pick: Tianjin Teda (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tianjin Teda | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|
| League position | #14 (18 pts) | #3 (36 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
*Tianjin Teda shown at home, Qingdao West Coast shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tianjin Teda — last 5
WWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao West Coast — last 5
WWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tianjin Teda (home) | Qingdao West Coast (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-3-5 in 11 (1.5 / 1.6 goals per game) | 3-4-4 in 11 (1.0 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Alberto Quiles (8) | Nelson Da Luz (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Tianjin Teda or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Qingdao West Coast or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Tianjin Teda clean sheet | 35% |
| Qingdao West Coast clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tianjin Teda is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Tianjin Teda are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast — FAQ
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast?
Our statistical model makes Tianjin Teda the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Tianjin Teda 45%, draw 28%, Qingdao West Coast 27%.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast?
Expected goals are 1.33 for Tianjin Teda and 1.06 for Qingdao West Coast — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Tianjin Teda or draw is 70%.