Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown
Model pick: Tianjin Teda (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.55
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tianjin Teda | Zhejiang Greentown |
|---|
| League position | #14 (19 pts) | #10 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 1.6 |
*Tianjin Teda shown at home, Zhejiang Greentown shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tianjin Teda — last 5
WLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Zhejiang Greentown — last 5
WLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tianjin Teda (home) | Zhejiang Greentown (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-5 in 12 (1.5 / 1.6 goals per game) | 3-3-6 in 12 (1.3 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Alberto Quiles (8) | Alexandru Mitrita (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 1.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Tianjin Teda or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Zhejiang Greentown or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Tianjin Teda clean sheet | 21% |
| Zhejiang Greentown clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tianjin Teda is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Tianjin Teda are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown — FAQ
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown?
Our statistical model makes Tianjin Teda the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Tianjin Teda 38%, draw 26%, Zhejiang Greentown 36%.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Tianjin Teda and 1.55 for Zhejiang Greentown — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang Greentown?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Tianjin Teda or draw is 63%.