Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger
Model pick: Tillmitsch (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 0.2
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tillmitsch | Deutschlandsberger |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #4 (51 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.8 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Tillmitsch shown at home, Deutschlandsberger shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tillmitsch — last 5
LLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Deutschlandsberger — last 5
DDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tillmitsch (home) | Deutschlandsberger (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 6-5-4 in 15 (1.8 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 0.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Tillmitsch or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Deutschlandsberger or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Tillmitsch clean sheet | 82% |
| Deutschlandsberger clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tillmitsch is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Tillmitsch are backed at home, where they average 0.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger — FAQ
Who will win Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger?
Our statistical model makes Tillmitsch the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Tillmitsch 69%, draw 25%, Deutschlandsberger 6%.
Will both teams score in Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger?
Expected goals are 1.62 for Tillmitsch and 0.2 for Deutschlandsberger — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tillmitsch vs Deutschlandsberger?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (26%). Double chance for Tillmitsch or draw is 96%.