Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf
Model pick: Gleisdorf (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 0.8
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 19%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tillmitsch | Gleisdorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #12 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 1.67 | 1.25 / 2.25 |
*Tillmitsch shown at home, Gleisdorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tillmitsch — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Gleisdorf — last 5
LLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tillmitsch (home) | Gleisdorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 3-4-8 in 15 (1.4 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (42%) |
| Double chance — Tillmitsch or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Gleisdorf or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 56% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Tillmitsch clean sheet | 45% |
| Gleisdorf clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gleisdorf is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Gleisdorf edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf — FAQ
Who will win Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf?
Our statistical model makes Gleisdorf the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Tillmitsch 4%, draw 44%, Gleisdorf 51%.
Will both teams score in Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf?
The model gives a 19% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Tillmitsch and 0.8 for Gleisdorf — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tillmitsch vs Gleisdorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (42%). Double chance for Tillmitsch or draw is 47%.