Tirol vs Lochau Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Tirol vs Lochau
Model pick: Tirol (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.65 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tirol | Lochau |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
*Tirol shown at home, Lochau shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tirol — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Lochau — last 5
LDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tirol (home) | Lochau (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.65 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Tirol or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Lochau or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Tirol clean sheet | 35% |
| Lochau clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tirol is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Tirol are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tirol vs Lochau — FAQ
Who will win Tirol vs Lochau?
Our statistical model makes Tirol the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Tirol 48%, draw 26%, Lochau 26%.
Will both teams score in Tirol vs Lochau?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tirol vs Lochau?
Expected goals are 1.65 for Tirol and 1.06 for Lochau — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tirol vs Lochau?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Tirol or draw is 76%.