Tirol vs Wolfurt Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Tirol vs Wolfurt
Model pick: Tirol (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.18 – 1.33
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tirol | Wolfurt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 1.75 | 2.0 / 1.5 |
*Tirol shown at home, Wolfurt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tirol — last 5
LDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Wolfurt — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tirol (home) | Wolfurt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.18 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Tirol or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Wolfurt or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Tirol clean sheet | 26% |
| Wolfurt clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tirol is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Tirol are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tirol vs Wolfurt — FAQ
Who will win Tirol vs Wolfurt?
Our statistical model makes Tirol the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Tirol 53%, draw 22%, Wolfurt 24%.
Will both teams score in Tirol vs Wolfurt?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tirol vs Wolfurt?
Expected goals are 2.18 for Tirol and 1.33 for Wolfurt — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tirol vs Wolfurt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Tirol or draw is 77%.