TNS vs Flora Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Jul 30, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
TNS vs Flora
Model pick: Flora (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.06 – 0.9
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 20%
Both teams score: 18%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TNS | Flora |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #2 (36 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 70% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 1.67 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*TNS shown at home, Flora shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TNS — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Flora — last 5
WLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 43% of the time; 69% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TNS (home) | Flora (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 7-0-3 in 10 (1.8 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 69% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.06 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (38%) |
| Double chance — TNS or draw (1X) | 43% |
| Double chance — Flora or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| TNS clean sheet | 41% |
| Flora clean sheet | 94% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Flora is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Flora edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (80% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TNS vs Flora — FAQ
Who will win TNS vs Flora?
Our statistical model makes Flora the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: TNS 4%, draw 41%, Flora 55%.
Will both teams score in TNS vs Flora?
The model gives a 18% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in TNS vs Flora?
Expected goals are 0.06 for TNS and 0.9 for Flora — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TNS vs Flora?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (38%). Double chance for TNS or draw is 43%.