Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II
Model pick: Todesfelde (91%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.15 – 0.48
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Todesfelde | Werder Bremen II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.4 | 3.4 / 2.2 |
*Todesfelde shown at home, Werder Bremen II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Todesfelde — last 5
WDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Werder Bremen II — last 5
WWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Todesfelde (home) | Werder Bremen II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.15 vs 0.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Todesfelde or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen II or draw (X2) | 6% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Todesfelde clean sheet | 62% |
| Werder Bremen II clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Todesfelde is the model's most likely outcome at
91%. Todesfelde are backed at home, where they average 3.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II — FAQ
Who will win Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II?
Our statistical model makes Todesfelde the most likely result at 91%. Full probabilities: Todesfelde 91%, draw 6%, Werder Bremen II 2%.
Will both teams score in Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II?
Expected goals are 4.15 for Todesfelde and 0.48 for Werder Bremen II — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (12%). Double chance for Todesfelde or draw is 99%.