Torquay United vs Horsham FC Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Torquay United vs Horsham FC
Model pick: Torquay United (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 0.99
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Torquay United | Horsham FC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Torquay United shown at home, Horsham FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Torquay United — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsham FC — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Torquay United (home) | Horsham FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 39% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Torquay United or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Torquay United clean sheet | 37% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Torquay United is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Torquay United are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Torquay United vs Horsham FC — FAQ
Who will win Torquay United vs Horsham FC?
Our statistical model makes Torquay United the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Torquay United 48%, draw 27%, Horsham FC 25%.
Will both teams score in Torquay United vs Horsham FC?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Torquay United vs Horsham FC?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Torquay United and 0.99 for Horsham FC — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Torquay United vs Horsham FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Torquay United or draw is 76%.